Warning: This post is not for the faint of heart!
I picked up my local Sunday Paper this last week and saw a nice big spread on Where The Candidates Stand: Health-care. It’s was a relatively simple, full-page graphic about the major candidates for President and what they feel should be done to “fix” the health care crisis.
As most people are aware, the US spends more more per-capita on health care than any nation in the world. Despite this, there are still numerous uninsured persons in the country. Politicians are still fighting on how to fix the problem and make sure every American affordable health care. What they really mean is, make sure every American has affordable health insurance, not health care.
Now, I’m not an economist, but I do play one in the classroom when I’m teaching. So, let’s review some of the simple economics of today’s health care issue.
- The price of health insurance is too high for many people to afford on their own. Those with insurance typically rely on an employer to pick up part of the tab or are forced into the Medicare system.
- From the article above, the majority of democrats want to force every American into one of the two categories listed in #1. They would prefer that every employer offer medical insurance. Those who aren’t employed or chose not to use their employer plans would be forced to pay an premium to be part of the Medicare system.
- From the Republican side, they seem to focus on giving more tax breaks to individuals for medical insurance to try and make the current system more affordable. I guess they figure if you can save 15% off the premium, you’d buy a private policy.
If you can remember back, here is a typical supply and demand graph in equilibrium (Qe, Pe):

Time to pick these apart. Let’s start with the fact that health insurance is too expensive. Why is that? Well, by insuring consumers for something like healthcare, you effectively reduce the cost of them going to the doctor and receiving medication (this is evident if you remember your health insurance rates at work a decade or 2 ago, I used to pay $6 a week for better coverage than I have now). By making an effectively lower price, consumers change their quantity demanded by sliding to the right on their demand curve.
This change put the market in an imbalance. There is now insufficient supply of health care at the quantity demanded (if you’ve looked at your local help wanted ads the last 5-10 years, you can attest to the shortage of supply in this market). The graph below shows our new situation. With the larger quantity demanded (Q1) the consumer is now paying price P1, but the provider is expecting price P2.

So, what happens next? There are 4 ways to fix the problem in order to return to equilibrium:
- We could get let the market continue to increase cost for the consumer in order to bring us back up to the original equilibrium of Pe & Qe.
- We could increase Demand (shift the Demand curve to the right), such that the consumer is paying much more (P2) to keep our current quantity of health care (Q1). Anyone willing to go for this?
- We could drastically reduce our demand for health care (shift the demand curve to the left) such that we are still paying the same price (P1), but only getting the smaller quantity of health care. Again, like #1, that will be a tough sell.
- We increase the supply of health care (shift supply curve to the right) so that there are enough providers they are willing to provide Q1 amount of service at the P1 price.
None of these are answers people want to hear and thus no politicians wants to propose them. Instead, we continue to focus on making healthcare cheaper for consumers. Over the past several years, the market has started to correct itself such that we are working on solution #1 above.
Instead of letting it run it’s course, people are asking politicians to interfere and drop our prices back down, increasing the quantity of health care demanded even more. That will just make the disparity between the supply and demand even greater.
Let’s say whoever get’s elected President manages to get control of health care costs for the nation and we stay where we are currently. Who pays the difference between P1 & P2 in order to have enough Doctors and Nurses available to provide the services that are being demanded? My guess is it will be added to the national deficit. Otherwise, there will be cheap health care with no one around to provide it.
While no one want to hear it, the real answer to this crisis is simply to leave it alone. The market will find it’s own equilibrium over time if we continue to let it. Yes, there will be people without insurance, just like there will always be people without jobs.
Personally, I wish things were simple enough that we could pay our doctor’s our selves and that all that money would be tax deductible. Without the extra overhead of processing the plethora of insurance paperwork, the Doctor’s cost is sure to decrease and I’d be paying not much more than I am now (assuming I stay relatively healthy). Realistically, I would like to someday have enough savings that I could keep just some basic catastrophic medical insurance and then pay any regular prescriptions and doctor visits out of my own pocket, knowing I’m covered in the case of major illnesses.